Port Vale vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İN1
3-2
HT 3-1
Port Vale
İN1
0-4
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İNTK
2-1
HT 1-1
Shrewsbury
İN1
2-1
HT 0-1
Shrewsbury
İNTK
1-1
HT 0-0
Shrewsbury
İNTK
Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics
Shrewsbury squeezed past Port Vale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Port Vale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Port Vale had 61% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 39%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.07 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Port Vale and 1.33 for Shrewsbury.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Shrewsbury?
Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Shrewsbury?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 43%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.