Leiston 0-1 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.66/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.44
+5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-3 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
26.02.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
06.11.2021 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge squeezed past Leiston 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Stourbridge made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Leiston and 1.20 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Stourbridge?

Leiston 0-1 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leiston 37%, draw 30%, Stourbridge 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leiston), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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