Ashdod 0-2 Maccabi Netanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashdod EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 54%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.59/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.98
-41% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.3 Crosses 17.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashdod
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Netanya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.12
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
201 Passes 420
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 1-0 HT 0-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashdod
0-2
AWAY Maccabi Netanya
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Ashdod vs Maccabi Netanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Netanya beat Ashdod 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maccabi Netanya as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Ashdod had 48% of the ball to Maccabi Netanya's 52%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Ashdod vs Maccabi Netanya?

Ashdod 0-2 Maccabi Netanya in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashdod vs Maccabi Netanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 22%, draw 25%, Maccabi Netanya 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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