Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.3pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
0.69/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.14
-53% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.7 Crosses 31.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 273
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.12.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 2-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
29.07.2023 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
2-2
AWAY Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.68 xG 0.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
119 Passes 231
47% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Petah Tikva and Maccabi Petah Tikva shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Petah Tikva at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 41% of the ball to Maccabi Petah Tikva's 59%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.68 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Petah Tikva led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.00 for Maccabi Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 36%, draw 23%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
9 Mar 2024
18:30 Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Bnei Sakhnin Analysis →
19:30 Ashdod vs Maccabi Netanya Analysis →
20:30 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem Analysis →