Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.41
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.7pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 43%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
187 Passes 443
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
06.08.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1-0
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera squeezed past Bnei Sakhnin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bnei Sakhnin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 70% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 30%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hapoel Eran Hadera and 1.00 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bnei Sakhnin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 33%, draw 22%, Bnei Sakhnin 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bnei Sakhnin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bnei Sakhnin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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