Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.22
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.89/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.05
+54% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.9 Crosses 19.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
322 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2024 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 2-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSREK
26.12.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
29.07.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0-0
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
0.73 xG 2.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
322 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Tel Aviv and Hapoel Jerusalem fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Tel Aviv at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 53% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 47%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.73 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hapoel Jerusalem led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.67 for Hapoel Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 42%, draw 24%, Hapoel Jerusalem 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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