Augsburg U19 2-1 1860 München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:07 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
57%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.7pp
57%
Away Win
46%
+10.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+97% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY 1860 München U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
01.10.2023 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 4-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg U19 Augsburg U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Augsburg U19 vs 1860 München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg U19 nicked a narrow win over 1860 München U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had 1860 München U19 at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Augsburg U19 vs 1860 München U19?

Augsburg U19 2-1 1860 München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg U19 vs 1860 München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1860 München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Augsburg U19 26%, draw 17%, 1860 München U19 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (1860 München U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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