Boavista vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boavista v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Boavista vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Boavista
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Boavista
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Moreirense
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Moreirense
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Boavista
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Moreirense
POR
Boavista 1-0 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Boavista nicked a narrow win over Moreirense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Moreirense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Boavista had 35% of the ball to Moreirense's 65%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.36 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boavista and 0.67 for Moreirense.
What was the final score of Boavista vs Moreirense?
Boavista 1-0 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boavista vs Moreirense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boavista 32%, draw 26%, Moreirense 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.