Rio Ave 0-0 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

Rio Ave
0-0 HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
16%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.29
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
11%
8.52
X/2
7%
4.2
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.35
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rio Ave v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.33/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.33
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
26.7 Crosses 19.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.36 xG 2.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
286 Passes 428
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
05.03.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
11.09.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
17.04.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
22.12.2020 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
30.06.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-3 HT 3-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR

Rio Ave 0-0 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave
0-0
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.44 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave and Sporting Braga fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave had 53% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 47%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.44 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rio Ave and 2.17 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga?

Rio Ave 0-0 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 28%, draw 28%, Sporting Braga 45%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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