Marbella 0-2 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.13 — our 25% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.30/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.31
+12% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-1 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
0-2
AWAY Villarreal II
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II got the better of Marbella 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Villarreal II made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 58% of the ball to Villarreal II's 42%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Villarreal II?

Marbella 0-2 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marbella 35%, draw 28%, Villarreal II 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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