Ceuta 2-2 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.82/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.30
+13% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Antequera
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2024 Antequera Antequera 2-2 HT 2-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
05.05.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 2-0 HT 1-0 Antequera Antequera İS3
03.01.2024 Antequera Antequera 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
24.04.2022 Antequera Antequera 3-1 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS4
05.12.2021 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 0-0 Antequera Antequera İS4
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta and Antequera couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ceuta had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ceuta and 1.00 for Antequera.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Antequera?

Ceuta 2-2 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 45%, draw 27%, Antequera 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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