Greuther Fürth II 3-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.69/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.00
+26% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bayreuth
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
23.07.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-5 HT 0-3 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
21.09.2019 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II beat Bayreuth 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 2.17 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth?

Greuther Fürth II 3-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 28%, draw 29%, Bayreuth 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayreuth), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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