Bayreuth 1-0 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.83/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.83
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.04.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
23.07.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-5 HT 0-3 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
21.09.2019 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
20.04.2015 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth squeezed past Greuther Fürth II 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bayreuth and 0.83 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Greuther Fürth II?

Bayreuth 1-0 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 51%, draw 25%, Greuther Fürth II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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