APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 Sydney II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney II EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.14
-19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sydney II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.08 xG 1.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
379 Passes 222
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 HT 0-4 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
05.05.2024 Sydney II Sydney II 1-7 HT 0-5 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
13.08.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
28.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 4-0 HT 3-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
25.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
10.04.2022 Sydney II Sydney II 4-3 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers saw off Sydney II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 2.50 for Sydney II.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 Sydney II in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 51%, draw 22%, Sydney II 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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