Melbourne Knights 3-0 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.52/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.45
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Port Melbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.11 xG 2.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
259 Passes 479
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
16.02.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-3 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
25.08.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
16.06.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.03.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
21.08.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights swept aside Port Melbourne 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.67 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne?

Melbourne Knights 3-0 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 41%, draw 27%, Port Melbourne 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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