Port Melbourne 2-0 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.62/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.28
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.87 xG 0.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
441 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-3 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
25.08.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
16.06.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.03.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
21.08.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
13.05.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne saw off Melbourne Knights 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Port Melbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Port Melbourne and 1.00 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights?

Port Melbourne 2-0 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 38%, draw 23%, Melbourne Knights 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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