Shamakhi 1-0 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
0.98/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.28
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 3-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
04.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 2-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
25.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.12.2022 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
02.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi edged past Sabah 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Sabah?

Shamakhi 1-0 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 34%, draw 24%, Sabah 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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