Zira 1-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.90/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.21
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sebail FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.12.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
04.08.2024 Zira Zira 4-1 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
08.02.2024 Zira Zira 3-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERK
30.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
22.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
28.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Sebail FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zira and 0.67 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Zira vs Sebail FK?

Zira 1-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zira 54%, draw 28%, Sebail FK 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
9 Mar 2025
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