Sebail FK 0-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.7pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.16/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.37
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +142%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
7 Corners 3
04.08.2024 Zira Zira 4-1 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
08.02.2024 Zira Zira 3-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERK
30.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
22.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
28.10.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
19.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Sebail FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sebail FK and 2.17 for Zira.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Zira?

Sebail FK 0-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 25%, draw 20%, Zira 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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