Sham Shui Po 5-0 Wing Yee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 20%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.26/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.21
-89% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
453 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wing Yee
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.09.2024 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-2 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sham Shui Po
5-0
AWAY Wing Yee
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Wing Yee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sham Shui Po swept aside Wing Yee 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sham Shui Po as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Sham Shui Po had 64% of the ball to Wing Yee's 36%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Wing Yee?

Sham Shui Po 5-0 Wing Yee in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Wing Yee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 57%, draw 20%, Wing Yee 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sham Shui Po), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sham Shui Po) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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