Yuen Long 1-0 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.0pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.94/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.99
-27% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Eastern District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
24.03.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 1-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
19.11.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 5-4 HT 2-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
09.10.2022 Eastern District Eastern District 0-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
10.10.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
1-0
AWAY Eastern District
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long nicked a narrow win over Eastern District 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Yuen Long found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yuen Long had 47% of the ball to Eastern District's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yuen Long and 1.40 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Eastern District?

Yuen Long 1-0 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern District win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 32%, draw 29%, Eastern District 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastern District) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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