Tuen Mun SA 1-3 WSE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
58%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
58%
Away Win
57%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.6pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY WSE EU Bookmakers 62%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuen Mun SA
0W-0D-1L
AWAY WSE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 WSE 3-1 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuen Mun SA
1-3
AWAY WSE
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tuen Mun SA vs WSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSE saw off Tuen Mun SA 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had WSE as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Tuen Mun SA had 54% of the ball to WSE's 46%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of Tuen Mun SA vs WSE?

Tuen Mun SA 1-3 WSE in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuen Mun SA vs WSE?

Before kick-off our model rated an WSE win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tuen Mun SA 22%, draw 20%, WSE 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (WSE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (WSE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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