Boavista 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.65
Over
40%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.21
No
57%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.41
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.61
6+
3%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.33
1/2
3%
28.5
1/X
4%
18.15
X/1
7%
10.15
X/2
23%
3.88
X/X
17%
4.25
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
32%
2.18
2/X
4%
16.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Boavista The Market 21%
Signal
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes The Market 59%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
1.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-2 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
27.04.2024 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
16.12.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
07.04.2023 Boavista Boavista 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
12.12.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes PORLC
23.10.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 3-2 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
1 - 2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
1.47 xG 2.21
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
173 Passes 447
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Boavista vs Vitoria Guimaraes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitoria Guimaraes squeezed past Boavista 2-1 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.47 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Boavista against 1.33 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

Boavista vs Vitoria Guimaraes Result & Final Score

Boavista 1 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Boavista vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Boavista 16%, draw 26%, Vitoria Guimaraes 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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