Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
13%
3.82
X/2
7%
9.26
X/X
14%
4.6
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
7.72
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.69/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.46
+2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.0 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Boavista
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
331 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
07.04.2023 Boavista Boavista 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
12.12.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes PORLC
23.10.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 3-2 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
06.05.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
29.12.2021 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0
AWAY Boavista
0.48 xG 0.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
355 Passes 273
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes squeezed past Boavista 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 54% of the ball to Boavista's 46%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.48 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.17 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Boavista?

Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 50%, draw 26%, Boavista 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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