Benfica vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica
POK
3-0
HT 2-0
Benfica
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Benfica
POR
Benfica 3-1 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica beat Sporting Braga 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Benfica had 62% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 38%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.49 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benfica and 1.50 for Sporting Braga.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Sporting Braga?
Benfica 3-1 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Sporting Braga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Benfica 56%, draw 17%, Sporting Braga 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.