Vizela 1-1 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.95
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.68
X/2
13%
5.35
X/X
13%
4.34
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.43/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.52
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.7 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
279 Passes 396
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
29.01.2023 Vizela Vizela 3-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
06.08.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave
1.37 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
393 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela and Rio Ave shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vizela had 53% of the ball to Rio Ave's 47%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.37 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vizela had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vizela and 0.67 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Rio Ave?

Vizela 1-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vizela 36%, draw 27%, Rio Ave 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rio Ave), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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