Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 9 Mar 2025

Casa Pia
1 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Sporting CP
📅09/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.57
Draw
20%
3.95
Away Pick
66%
1.5
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.83
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.08
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.93
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.72
6+
5%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.1
1/2
3%
24.7
1/X
4%
20.45
X/1
6%
12.3
X/2
21%
3.7
X/X
12%
5.38
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
42%
1.86
2/X
4%
17.9
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Casa Pia v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Casa Pia The Market 18%
Signal
AWAY Sporting CP The Market 67%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.01
1.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.76
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
13 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.66 xG 2.77
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
212 Passes 596
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
29.01.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 8-0 HT 5-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
18.08.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
09.04.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-4 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
22.10.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 0-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
22.12.2021 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK

Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
1 - 3
AWAY Sporting CP
0.58 xG 2.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Casa Pia vs Sporting CP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting CP beat Casa Pia 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.66, roughly 60%.

The match data tells the story: Casa Pia had 51% of the ball to Sporting CP's 49%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.58 to 2.31.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casa Pia and 3.50 for Sporting CP.

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Result & Final Score

Casa Pia 1 - 3 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 14%, draw 20%, Sporting CP 66%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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