FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.27/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.77
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.0 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
435 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.12.2024 FCSB FCSB 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
03.11.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
06.05.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
07.04.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
28.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-3 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
02.09.2023 FCSB FCSB 3-0 HT 3-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-0
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.09 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
243 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB nicked a narrow win over Universitatea Craiova 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; FCSB found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 42% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 58%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.09 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FCSB and 0.83 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova?

FCSB 1-0 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FCSB 40%, draw 29%, Universitatea Craiova 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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