SS Monopoli 2-1 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Casarano EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.24/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.82
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Casarano
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2025 Casarano Casarano 1-3 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
2-1
AWAY Casarano
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Casarano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli edged past Casarano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 62% of the ball to Casarano's 38%, shots finished 14-2.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Casarano?

SS Monopoli 2-1 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Casarano?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 45%, draw 27%, Casarano 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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