Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta II v Audace Cerignola — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Atalanta II 3-2 Audace Cerignola — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta II nicked a narrow win over Audace Cerignola 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Atalanta II had 49% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 51%, shots finished 11-13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atalanta II and 1.33 for Audace Cerignola.
What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola?
Atalanta II 3-2 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 43%, draw 28%, Audace Cerignola 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.