Perugia vs Pontedera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Pontedera — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Pontedera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Pontedera
İTC
Perugia 2-1 Pontedera — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia edged past Pontedera 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Perugia had 50% of the ball to Pontedera's 50%, shots finished 14-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Perugia and 1.17 for Pontedera.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Pontedera?
Perugia 2-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Pontedera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Perugia 51%, draw 26%, Pontedera 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.