Pontedera 2-2 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.59
Over 2.5
52%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.55
6+ Goals
11%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.6pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -32%
1.18/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.61
+6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Perugia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTCK
27.04.2025 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
15.12.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
27.01.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTC
19.09.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
08.12.2013 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
2-2
AWAY Perugia
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera and Perugia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Pontedera had 38% of the ball to Perugia's 62%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pontedera and 1.50 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Perugia?

Pontedera 2-2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 32%, draw 25%, Perugia 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
2 Nov 2025
14:30 Triestina vs Union Brescia Analysis →
14:30 Livorno vs Forli Analysis →
16:30 Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
16:30 Vicenza vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
16:30 Gubbio vs Ternana Analysis →
16:30 Sassari Torres vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →