Jalapa 1-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
49%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.34/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.89
-22% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Export Sebaco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
06.02.2026 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
03.08.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.11.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
26.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
17.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
21.01.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
FAQ Jalapa vs Export Sebaco
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jalapa edged past Export Sebaco 1-0 in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 9 Mar 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jalapa and 0.83 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?

Jalapa 1-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 56%, draw 23%, Export Sebaco 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
9 Mar 2026
02:00 Real Madriz vs Managua Analysis →
04:00 Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli Analysis →