Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2024

Blackpool
1-0 HT 1-0
Fleetwood Town
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Blackpool vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 24% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
18%
3.91
X/2
10%
8.58
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.89
2/X
5%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackpool v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.51
-26% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 67%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.9 Crosses 15.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Blackpool vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.73
49% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-3 HT 2-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
13.03.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
08.12.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNTK
05.12.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
07.03.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
07.12.2019 Blackpool Blackpool 3-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1

Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.97 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
351 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool edged past Fleetwood Town 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Blackpool had 58% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 42%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.97 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackpool and 0.67 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Fleetwood Town?

Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 49%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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