Sparta Prag 3-2 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
10%
+12.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.07/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/1.40
+17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +86%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Teplice
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.98 xG 0.91
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 203
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
27.07.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-4 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
17.12.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
19.08.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
04.03.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.09.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 1-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
3-2
AWAY Teplice
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Teplice 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 57% of the ball to Teplice's 43%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Teplice?

Sparta Prag 3-2 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 56%, draw 21%, Teplice 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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