Jablonec 0-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 34%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+105% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 308
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-1 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.07.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
07.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
11.02.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
0-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava squeezed past Jablonec 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jablonec at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jablonec had 52% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 48%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jablonec and 1.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Jablonec 0-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 43%, draw 25%, Banik Ostrava 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ BTTS Yes
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