Maitland 1-1 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+12.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.5pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +75% / +75%
1.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-36% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +102%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
3W-1D-0L
AWAY New Lambton FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.08.2024 Maitland Maitland 1-1 HT 0-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
09.03.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
27.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 4-1 HT 4-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
11.03.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-9 HT 0-3 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland and New Lambton FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maitland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Maitland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Maitland and 1.00 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Maitland vs New Lambton FC?

Maitland 1-1 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maitland 45%, draw 22%, New Lambton FC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maitland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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