Al Riffa 1-2 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+49% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sitra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-3 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.04.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
15.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
03.04.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
25.11.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-2
AWAY Sitra
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra nicked a narrow win over Al Riffa 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Sitra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 66% of the ball to Sitra's 34%, shots finished 9-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Riffa and 1.00 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Al Riffa 1-2 Sitra in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 36%, draw 25%, Sitra 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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