America de Cali 1-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.32
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.87
X/2
13%
6.77
X/X
11%
3.62
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
13%
5.52
2/X
11%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
Crosses 10.4
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.69 xG 0.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
254 Passes 410
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Corinthians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, America de Cali had 40% of the ball to Corinthians's 60%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.69 to 0.53.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Corinthians?

America de Cali 1-1 Corinthians in the Copa Sudamericana on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 37%, draw 29%, Corinthians 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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