Vasco da Gama vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama nicked a narrow win over Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 58% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 42%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.57 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vasco da Gama's control.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
Vasco da Gama 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Copa Sudamericana on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 61%, draw 22%, Academia Puerto Cabello 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.