Gremio vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Gremio 2-0 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio beat Atletico Grau 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Gremio had 61% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 39%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.47.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Atletico Grau?
Gremio 2-0 Atletico Grau in the Copa Sudamericana on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gremio 54%, draw 27%, Atletico Grau 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.