Independiente Medellin 1-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 9 Apr 2026

Independiente Medellin
1-1 HT 0-1
Estudiantes
📅09/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.48
Over
38%
2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.12
No
56%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
36%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Independiente Medellin v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes The Market 36%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.59 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.36
1.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.92
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.4 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Independiente Medellin 1-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.67 xG 0.44
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
326 Passes 156
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Medellin and Estudiantes traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Independiente Medellin at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (62%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 64% of the ball to Estudiantes's 36%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.44.

Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes Result & Final Score

Independiente Medellin 1-1 Estudiantes in the Copa Libertadores on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 42%, draw 32%, Estudiantes 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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