Mirassol FC 1-0 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.45
Over
46%
2.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus The Market 30%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Defensevs comparable teams Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
Crosses 7.4
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-0
AWAY Lanus
0.43 xG 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
272 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mirassol FC vs Lanus
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mirassol FC edged past Lanus 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%. At 1.45 (~69%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: Lanus saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.43 to 0.33.

Mirassol FC vs Lanus Result & Final Score

Mirassol FC 1-0 Lanus in the Copa Libertadores on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mirassol FC vs Lanus Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 47%, draw 25%, Lanus 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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