Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting Cristal v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Cerro Porteno 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in Sporting Cristal's favour, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.80 to 0.05 — on chances created, Sporting Cristal won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sporting Cristal against 1.50 for Cerro Porteno.
Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Result & Final Score
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 43%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.