Junior vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Junior v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Junior 1-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Junior and Palmeiras shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
A gentle 47% lean on Palmeiras didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.79 (roughly 56%) the price was further off than we were.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.69, about 59%.
The match data tells the story: Palmeiras saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.15 to 1.90.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.25 a game for Junior against 2.75 for Palmeiras.
Junior vs Palmeiras Result & Final Score
Junior 1-1 Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Junior vs Palmeiras Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Junior 29%, draw 24%, Palmeiras 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.