Dandenong City 3-1 Melbourne Victory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.5pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
3.29/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+53% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +93%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Melbourne Victory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City saw off Melbourne Victory II 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Dandenong City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Melbourne Victory II?

Dandenong City 3-1 Melbourne Victory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Melbourne Victory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 39%, draw 29%, Melbourne Victory II 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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