Heidelberg United 2-1 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-10.6pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.5pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 8%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.84/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/3.94
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Port Melbourne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.39 xG 2.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
202 Passes 299
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
16.03.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
01.07.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
31.03.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-2 HT 0-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
09.07.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
10.04.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-1 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United squeezed past Port Melbourne 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.67 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Port Melbourne?

Heidelberg United 2-1 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 72%, draw 17%, Port Melbourne 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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