Manly United 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 May 2025

Manly United
1-1 HT 0-1
Rockdale Ilinden
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-5.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manly United v Rockdale Ilinden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 67%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.13/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.48
-40% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.7 Crosses 22.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
350 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 HT 2-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
09.03.2024 Manly United Manly United 1-1 HT 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
03.06.2023 Manly United Manly United 2-2 HT 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
19.02.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
31.07.2022 Manly United Manly United 3-1 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
15.05.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-1 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United and Rockdale Ilinden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Rockdale Ilinden carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Manly United and 1.67 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Manly United 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Manly United 22%, draw 21%, Rockdale Ilinden 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
9 May 2025
12:30 St. George Saints vs Western Sydney W. II Analysis →
12:30 Green Gully vs Avondale Heights Analysis →
12:30 Heidelberg United vs Port Melbourne Analysis →
12:45 Dandenong City vs Melbourne Victory II Analysis →
13:45 West Torrens Birkalla vs Modbury Jets Analysis →
13:45 Adelaide City vs Campbelltown City Analysis →