Sabah 3-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 9 May 2025

Sabah
3-1 HT 1-1
Shamakhi
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Sabah vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.83/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
-5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sabah vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
22.12.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 3-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
04.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 2-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
29.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
25.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.12.2022 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah saw off Shamakhi 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamakhi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sabah and 1.50 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Shamakhi?

Sabah 3-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sabah 50%, draw 27%, Shamakhi 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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