Valenciennes 3-4 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 May 2025

Valenciennes
3-4 HT 2-2
Nancy
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Valenciennes vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.56
1/2
10%
30.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
12%
6.06
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
16%
3.49
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valenciennes v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.70/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.06
-40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Valenciennes vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nancy
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.15 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
01.02.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 6-1 HT 5-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
14.08.2021 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
01.05.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-3 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
05.01.2021 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-3 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
10.01.2020 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2

Valenciennes 3-4 Nancy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
3-4
AWAY Nancy
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy nicked a narrow win over Valenciennes 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Nancy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Valenciennes had 61% of the ball to Nancy's 39%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Valenciennes and 1.17 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Nancy?

Valenciennes 3-4 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 36%, draw 25%, Nancy 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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